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This free and public model is delayed by two months.
Start a free trial to gain access to our real-time live risk meter and the most sophisticated quantitative risk model for Bitcoin.

Due to the high amount of data we can only provide an image for mobile viewers.

For an interactive version, please visit our website on a desktop device.


These historical risk levels display the risk levels shown on our live risk meter on that specific day.
Moonstrategy and our metric are publicly kept accountable by providing daily insight into past performance.
Please note that the publicly available data is delayed by two months.

We do not retrofit the model and it has no predictive capabilities. The model only classifies the current price to return a risk value.

Alternatively, check our Strategies section to learn how to use the index to dynamically invest based on risk.


The Moonindex takes a variety of factors as input and applies quantitative tools to calculate a risk level between 0-100. The underlying algorithm is self-learning and improves it’s classification capabilities daily as new data becomes available.

The algorithm is built around data-analysis, statistical modelling, and automation. Extensive testing has also taken place to ensure the metric delivers as intended, even in times of high volatility. You can read more about The Moonindex here

in short – You buy when risk is low, and sell when the risk is high. We remind you that The Moonindex is a tool used to invest medium to long term, not a day-trading indicator. We suggest checking out the Strategies section to learn how you can maximize your profits and become a better investor.

The Moonindex is a unique multifactorial and self-adjusting metric. Multifactorial meaning it takes several market factors and data into account. Self-adjusting means it updates and improves itself daily as new data becomes available. Ever since The Moonindex was deployed, it’s been living its own life, improving its accuracy and confidence-level. The algorithm applies data analysis, statistical modelling, automation, and other techniques to all the different factors to compute a risk level.

It is important to note that, while the algorithm improves it’s accuracy with new data every day, the historical risk levels display the risk levels shown on our live risk meter on that specific day. It is not a retrofitted or predictive model. Rather, it classifies the current price on a daily basis.

Naturally, the exact ingredients of The Moonindex will remain our very own secret recipe, which until now has been reserved only for ourselves.

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